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Wednesday, April 29, 2009

Rasmussen-->Republicans Take Lead in Generic Congressional Ballot

Despite yesterday's deflection of the Pennsylvania RINO, Senator Specter, Americans would prefer a two-party rather than a  one-party system.  The latest Rasmussen report reflects a movement from toward the Republican party in the Generic Congressional Ballot.  For the second time in past six weeks republicans lead the democrats. It is also only the second time in the past FIVE YEARS.  Since the inauguration, Democrats have dropped by almost 10%, while the GOP has picked up over 17%. Obviously things are still very tight but the trend is positive.

Republicans Top Democrats on Generic Congressional Ballot

For just the second time in more than five years of daily or weekly tracking, Republicans now lead Democrats in the latest edition of the Generic Congressional Ballot.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that 41% would vote for their district’s Republican candidate while 38% would choose the Democrat. Thirty-one percent (31%) of conservative Democrats said they would vote for their district’s Republican candidate.

Overall, the GOP gained two points this week, while the Democrats lost a point in support. Still, it’s important to note that the GOP’s improved position comes primarily from falling Democratic support. Democrats are currently at their lowest level of support in the past year while Republicans are at the high water mark.

Over the past year, Democratic support has ranged from a low of 38% to a high of 50%. In that same time period, Republicans have been preferred by 34% to 41% of voters nationwide.

During calendar 2009, Democratic support has ranged from 38% to 42% and the Republican range has been from 35% to 41%.


Democrats began the year holding a six- or seven-point lead over the GOP for the first several weeks of 2009. That began to slip in early February and the Republicans actually took a two-point lead for a single week in the middle of March. Since then, the results have ranged from dead even to a four point lead for the Democrats.

Men now favor the GOP by a 45% to 34% margin. Women prefer the Democrats by a 42% to 38% margin.

Other recent polling shows 50% believe the high reelection rates result from election rules that are “rigged to benefit members of Congress.”

An analysis by Scott Rasmussen looks at the Beltway Republicans and concludes that they are on a continuing path to irrelevance.

Americans are evenly divided as to whether or not the government should create a health insurance company to compete with private health insurance
companies.

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