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Tuesday, December 29, 2009

Is Obama Trying to Set Up a New Housing Collapse?

There is only one better time for a politician to release bad news than the traditional Friday afternoon news dump, that is Christmas Eve news dump. Absolutely no one is around then, Christians are with their families, or maybe going to Church, the rest of us are at the movies or going to restaurants etc.

This past Christmas Eve the Treasury Department announced that it was removing the $400 billion cap from what the administration believes will be necessary to keep Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac solvent.

As Fannie and Freddie were the primary feeders of the housing bubble that led to the economic collapse, is it strange that Obama would give them an opportunity to do it all again. For the first three-quarters of this decade, Fannie and Freddie were binging on risky mortgages. But there is method to his madness.

By the end of 2008, Fannie and Freddie held or guaranteed approximately 10 million subprime and Alt-A mortgages and mortgage-backed securities (MBS)—risky loans with a total principal balance of $1.6 trillion. To the progressives, there is a constitutional right to own a home, and by giving loans to those who could not afford, Fannie and Freddie were the agents of the "social change" and redistribution of income that our President campaigns on:
Obama to reinflate housing bubble
Examiner Editorial

Has President Obama learned nothing from the collapse of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government-guaranteed mortgage giants? Has he learned nothing from the broader collapse of the housing market, caused in large part by the rotten mortgage securities that these two firms churned out and sold to investors over the last decade?

Instead of learning from those sorry spectacles, Obama has bought into his own false narrative about some imaginary deregulatory action causing the economic collapse of 2008. Hence his baffling decision, cleverly buried in the Christmas Eve news dump from the White House communications office, to remove the $400 billion cap on federal loan guarantees for Fannie and Freddie.

Obama's decision is particularly disturbing for two reasons. First, taxpayers have already sunk $111 billion into the Fannie-Freddie bailout in just the last few months. The removal of the $400 billion cap suggests that things are about to worsen considerably. Second, it was precisely such government guarantees that caused the housing bubble and economic collapse in the first place.

In 1999, when Fannie Mae initially began securitizing subprime mortgages in a pilot program, American Enterprise Institute's Peter Wallison predicted in the pages of the New York Times that a massive bailout would eventually be necessary. Wallison's warning was ignored by President Clinton and the Republican-controlled Congress, which together allowed the pilot program to expand year after year. The process continued under President George W. Bush, with loan standards being steadily lowered by Fannie and Freddie in their effort to give 55 percent of their mortgages to families at or below the median income level. The economic carnage of politically motivated mortgages surrounds us now.

Today, Wallison points out that nearly two-thirds of the nation's subprime and otherwise bad loans were created, securitized, backed by, and/or required by various programs within the United States government, including Fannie and Freddie, the Federal Housing Administration, Ginnie Mae, and the Community Reinvestment Act. Ten million of these 17 million dicey mortgages -- or about 40 percent of the nation's subprime and otherwise low-grade mortgages -- were either owned or securitized by Fannie and Freddie when they collapsed last year.

That Obama would now give these two companies a blank check is incomprehensible. Taxpayers got another thumb in the eye when Fannie and Freddie chose the same Christmas news dump to announce $42 million in bonuses for 12 top executives -- obviously for their excellent work last year as they drove the ship into the iceberg. Keep that one in mind the next time you hear Obama feign outrage over Wall Street bonuses.

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