Columnist Mark Harvey spoke to an Obama Insider who says that McCain will definitely win FL, OH, NC, MO and NV. Pennsylvania is up for grabs as is Colorado and New Hampshire. Sound to me as this thing AIN'T over by a long shot. Read the report below:
Just Received Word From An Insider … From The Other Side
WOOT WOOT WOOT
I have known this for quite some time but for some reason, people are insanely and unhealthily attached to the crapolla from pollsters. Without giving too much away…
[...] she said the results of their polling lead her to believe that McCain will definitely win FL, OH, NC, MO and NV. She says Obama definitely wins New Mexico. She said that Colorado and New Hampshire were absolute dead heats. She said she thinks there is a 55% chance Obama holds on in Pennsylvania and a 75% chance McCain wins Virginia [...]
[...] She absolutely laughed at the public polls showing Obama leading Virginia–and pointed out that all of those polls rely on Dem turnout being +4 and as much as +7, when in 2006, Republicans actually had the advantage by +3. She also pointed out that the numbers for Obama in SWVA look absolutely awful and that McCain is running 10 points better then Allen did in NoVa.
Anyway, her companies conclusion is that the election will come down to Colorado, New Hampshire and the Republican leaning district in Maine, which in her opinion might very well decide the Presidency (apparently the district in Nebraska that Obama thought he might be able to get is now off the table). She said she has very little doubt that the public polling is part of a “concerted voter suppression effort” by the MSM. She said IBD/TIPP was the only outfit doing public polling that was “worth a bucket of warm pxxs”. [...]
Now, one doesn’t need to be a rocket scientist to figure all of this out and I would like to say something as definitively, honestly and succinctly as I possibly can...are you ready?
For all of you naysayers out there in Stupid Land that have already thrown in the towel because McCain isn’t your cup of tea, KISS MY.... Putting out the cowardly tripe and mimicking Harry “Dingy” Reid and saying All IS Lost when the battle lines haven’t even been formed yet, I would like to say the following...it is a good damn thing we never served in the same Company, Brigade, Battalion or even the same TO for that matter. Damn.
What will you ever do with yourselves when the going really gets tough?
9 comments:
This was up on HILL BUZZ a few days ago? Are they posting from blogs? Just thought you should know.
http://hillbuzz.wordpress.com/2008/10/25/hey-eeyores-another-take-on-those-polls/
I was having dinner a night ago with a friend of mine who is a statistician for a well-regarded private polling company. They do some work for Republicans in California, but most of the work they do is for Democrats or Democrat-leaning operations (Unions, etc.). Anyway, her shop was retained to do a few Presidential polls for targetted states on behalf of a union so the union could decide where to spend their ad dollars for the last week. They did Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada and Missouri. After mocking the hell out of the voter id spreads used by Rassmussen, Zogby, etc. (and this is coming from a committed Dem who will be voting for Barry O) she said the results of their polling lead her to believe that McCain will definitely win FL, OH, NC, MO and NV. She says Obama definitely wins New Mexico. She said that Colorado and New Hampshire were absolute dead heats. She said she thinks there is a 55% chance Obama holds on in Pennsylvania and a 75% chance McCain wins Virginia. She absolutely laughed at the public polls showing Obama leading Virginia–and pointed out that all of those polls rely on Dem turnout being +4 and as much as +7, when in 2006, Republicans actually had the advantage by +3. She also pointed out that the numbers for Obama in SWVA look absolutely awful and that McCain is running 10 points better then Allen did in NoVa.
Anyway, her companies conclusion is that the election will come down to Colorado, New Hampshire and the Republican leaning district in Maine, which in her opinion might very well decide the Presidency (apparently the district in Nebraska that Obama thought he might be able to get is now off the table). She said she has very little doubt that the public polling is part of a “concerted voter suppression effort” by the MSM. She said IBD/TIPP was the only outfit doing public polling that was “worth a bucket of warm piss”.
Great post. I'd show up at the polls if McCain were behind by 50. It's the principle - the damn principle.
Hey!
Just found your blog. Have I found another Jew vehemently against Obama on the blogosphere?
I am very excited!
Exchange links?
I hope it's true, but you may want to be careful in believing that. It could be a ploy by Obama's camp to keep their supporters from becomming complacent. But putting Obama way ahead in Virginia sounds rediculous anyway since Bush won by 8%. I think they're right, no chance for Obama in Missouri and North Carolina. I'm a little surprised they'd include Florida and Ohio, as I understand that Obama is still spending huge amount of money there, and visiting there this week.
I'm skeptical to believe anything I hear from any source, they all have their reasons for whatever they do.
Under any of the scenarios you have provided does McCain have a chance of winning? McCain would have to sweep all of the states you have mentioned and win Pennsylvania. The map simply does not work in McCain's favor.
No one from the Obama camp is celebrating. Conservative pollsters are only questioning the size of Obama's win. The MSM is not driving this thing. The facts are.
Thanks for the links but a minor correction.
Several days ago I got a hold of this information and was asked not to go public for a while until I got The Call and I have since gotten that call.
This is Great News and supports quite a bit out in cyber world.
For what it is worth, this is going viral and it couldn't come at a better time.
McCain's going to win Indiana too. I can't imagine Daniels winning by a landslide, which he will, and then Obama taking the state. Plus, we've always been a Red state and I don't see that changing. The number of young people in this state has only dwindled over the last 8 years too. Obama will take my county, Monroe, and likely lose everywhere else. Also, Daniels' people have been calling people with cell phones on behalf of the RNC and Obama's have not, so that can only help McCain's standing with young people in Indiana. We're a relatively small state, but we're a key state in this election.
Those polls are such crap. No poll that makes the news has ever had a margin of error that favored the Republican candidate. And, amazingly, I think that people lie to pollsters out of fear that they'll appear racist if they say they're voting for McCain, which is ridiculous, because with that cabal of advisors, Obama is running on the Genocide ticket. Ann Coulter wrote a good article about how much crap those polls are.
90+ PERCENT OF IMMIGRANTS THAT WERE BORN AND RAISED UNDER THE SOVIET REGIME are voting for MCCAIN. THEY KNOW WHAT THE REDISTRIBUTION OF WEALTH and BIASED/CONTROLLED MEADIA REALLY MEANS and how much damage it can do to this great nation.
“THE INHERENT VICE OF CAPITALISM IS THE UNEQUAL SHARING OF BLESSING; THE INHERENT VIRTUE OF SOCIALISM IS THE EQUAL SHARING OF MISERIES.”
They know that both COMUNISTS AND HITLER CAME TO POWER ON THE PLATFORM OF CHANGE. THEY KNOW AND IF YOU VOTE FOR a candidate with NO EXPERIENCE, NO CHARACTER, NO JUDGMENT you will also find out what it was like to live under one of the horrific ‘ISMS’ of the 20th century.
The Polls Show That Reaganism Is Not Dead
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