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Monday, September 16, 2013

The UN's Global Warming Authority Says Doomsday Estimates Were Wrong

One of the problems with the Global Warming Hoax is the climate scientists are too reliant on computer models. They will work for years coming up with proprietary computer models containing all their prejudices, input thousands of numbers based on their presumptions and come up with a prediction such as it will rain today.  The problem is their heads are stuck up so far into their hard drives, the never bother to put their heads out the window to see if it is really raining.

That, according to the intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the international authority on climate change run by the United Nations, is the reason why warming is just half of what they predicted.  What they haven't figured out as of yet is how parts of the world were as warm as they are now for decades at a time between 950 and 1250 CE  centuries before the Industrial Revolution when CO2 was much lower.

The UK's Daily Mail obtained the final draft of a report  by the IPCC  whose six-yearly ‘assessments’ are accepted by the cult of global warming as the "gospel of climate science".
The leaked report makes the extraordinary concession that the world has been warming at only just over half the rate claimed by the IPCC in its last assessment, published in 2007.
Back then, it said that the planet was warming at a rate of 0.2C every decade – a figure it claimed was in line with the forecasts made by computer climate models.

But the new report says the true figure since 1951 has been only 0.12C per decade – a rate far below even the lowest computer prediction.
The 31-page ‘summary for policymakers’ is based on a more technical 2,000-page analysis which will be issued at the same time. It also surprisingly reveals: IPCC scientists accept their forecast computers may have exaggerated the effect of increased carbon emissions on world temperatures – and not taken enough notice of natural variability.
They recognise the global warming ‘pause’ first reported by The Mail on Sunday last year is real – and concede that their computer models did not predict it. But they cannot explain why world average temperatures have not shown any statistically significant increase since 1997.
They admit large parts of the world were as warm as they are now for decades at a time between 950 and 1250 AD – centuries before the Industrial Revolution, and when the population and CO2 levels were both much lower.
If the climate was the same 1,000 years ago it indicates that the recent climate changes may be due to normal earth climate cycles not because of the climate change theories. 
The IPCC admits that while computer models forecast a decline in Antarctic sea ice, it has actually grown to a new record high. Again, the IPCC cannot say why.
I can say why--climate change is bunk!
A forecast in the 2007 report that hurricanes would become more intense has simply been dropped, without mention. 
This year has been one of the quietest hurricane seasons in history and the US is currently enjoying its longest-ever period – almost eight years – without a single hurricane of Category 3 or above making landfall.
Even though the latest science keeps poking holes in the climate change hoax, the IPCC is insisting the increasing temperatures which ended 16-years-ago is man made.
It says the world will continue to warm catastrophically unless there is drastic action to curb greenhouse gases – with big rises in sea level, floods, droughts and the disappearance of the Arctic icecap.
Perhaps the reason they still hang on to their theory is their desire for international redistribution of income. 
Last night Professor Judith Curry, head of climate science at Georgia Institute of Technology in Atlanta, said the leaked summary showed that ‘the science is clearly not settled, and is in a state of flux’.

She said it therefore made no sense that the IPCC was claiming that its confidence in its forecasts and conclusions has increased.

For example, in the new report, the IPCC says it is ‘extremely likely’ – 95 per cent certain – that human influence caused more than half the temperature rises from 1951 to 2010, up from ‘very confident’ – 90 per cent certain – in 2007.

Prof Curry said: ‘This is incomprehensible to me’ – adding that the IPCC projections are ‘overconfident’, especially given the report’s admitted areas of doubt.
Here's an important message to the IPCC and all the global warming hoaxers...when you find your fake theory in a hole...stop digging (it will increase your carbon footprint)!


2 comments:

Phana24JG said...

Of course, many real scientists(not so-called "climatologists") have been telling us for decades that these models were of dubious value, excluded many key variables(particularly the sun), and could not explain modern history.

This is akin to monitoring the temperature in your own home and excluding the furnace.

LV Taxman said...

Ms Curry, it is easy to see how the misguided IPCC increased their confidence level. They were 90% certain man caused a 1 degree increase (half of their original reports) per decade and now they are 95% certain man accounts for a 0.6 degree increase (half of the new 1.2 degree per decade increase).

I can't wait to see them explain that the coming cooling period would be much, much worse if it wasn't for the man made warming preceding it.