Every autumn as the weather cools, the Ice Cap begins to freeze and expand this year, before the annual autumn re-freeze is due to begin, an unbroken ice sheet more than half the size of Europe already stretches from the Canadian islands to Russia’s northern shores. The Northwest Passage from the Atlantic to the Pacific has remained blocked by pack-ice all year.
It looks as if the gloom and doom predicted by the Global Warming Hoaxers forgot to happen. Only six years ago, the BBC reported that the Arctic would be ice-free in summer by 2013, citing a scientist in the US who claimed this was a ‘conservative’ forecast.
The BBC’s 2007 report quoted scientist Professor Wieslaw Maslowski, who based his views on super-computer models and the fact that ‘we use a high-resolution regional model for the Arctic Ocean and sea ice’.
He was confident his results were ‘much more realistic’ than other projections, which ‘underestimate the amount of heat delivered to the sea ice’. Also quoted was Cambridge University expertThe ice cap growth along with the 15 year pause in global warming has caused dissension within the IPCC, the UN's climate change organization.
Professor Peter Wadhams. He backed Professor Maslowski, saying his model was ‘more efficient’ than others because it ‘takes account of processes that happen internally in the ice’.
Leaked documents show that governments which support and finance the IPCC are demanding more than 1,500 changes to the report’s ‘summary for policymakers’. They say its current draft does not properly explain the pause.
At the heart of the row lie two questions: the extent to which temperatures will rise with carbon dioxide levels, as well as how much of the warming over the past 150 years – so far, just 0.8C – is down to human greenhouse gas emissions and how much is due to natural variability.
In its draft report, the IPCC says it is ‘95 per cent confident’ that global warming has been caused by humans – up from 90 per cent in 2007.
This claim is already hotly disputed. US climate expert Professor Judith Curry said last night: ‘In fact, the uncertainty is getting bigger. It’s now clear the models are way too sensitive to carbon dioxide. I cannot see any basis for the IPCC increasing its confidence level.’
She pointed to long-term cycles in ocean temperature, which have a huge influence on climate and suggest the world may be approaching a period similar to that from 1965 to 1975, when there was a clear cooling trend. This led some scientists at the time to forecast an imminent ice age.Anybody who says there is a scientific consensus regarding global warming is either lying, trying to redistribute income internationally, have a business investment in "green energy-related products, or just plain stupid!
Professor Anastasios Tsonis, of the University of Wisconsin, was one of the first to investigate the ocean cycles. He said: ‘We are already in a cooling trend, which I think will continue for the next 15 years at least. There is no doubt the warming of the 1980s and 1990s has stopped.
Yet there is mounting evidence that Arctic ice levels are cyclical. Data uncovered by climate historians show that there was a massive melt in the 1920s and 1930s, followed by intense re-freezes that ended only in 1979 – the year the IPCC says that shrinking began.Taking Earth Science as a freshman in college during the 1970s, we were taught that because of historic global cycles most scientists believed the Earth was likely heading for a cooling period, possibly even an ice age. Many scientists today believe that the lack of solar activity means what the Earth Science professor taught is coming to fruition.
On the other side of the earth, Steven Goddard is reporting that every day for the last 23 months, Antarctic sea ice area has been above normal. It is currently 13,100 Manhattans above normal.
The growth of both Ice Caps might be the start of a consensus about a coming Ice Age.
In the meantime maybe you should buy warm gloves and a hat with that new winter coat, it will make your mother happy.