The latest fear tactic by the UK Global Warming Cosa Nostra is by 36 years from now, by 2050 deaths because of hot weather will grow by 257%. Of course before that happens the earth will have to start warming since even the UN's IPCC says earth temperatures have been stable for the last 16 -17 years.
While the number of excess deaths seen in the summer months will rise, those recorded in winter will actually decrease, they said.There is one key thing that must happen before the doom and gloom of heat related deaths starts....It has to start getting warmer. According to Great Britain's University of East Anglia Climatic Research Unit (the folks who gave us climategate)--based on readings from more than 30,000 measuring stations the rising trend in world temperatures ended in 1997.
Researchers wanted to try to determine the effect that climate change will have on temperature-related deaths in the coming decades. Their study, published in the Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, examined fluctuations in weather patterns and death rates between 1993 and 2006 to characterise the associations between temperature and mortality.
The researchers, from Public Health England (PHE) and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, then looked at projected population and climate increases so they could estimate temperature-related deaths for the UK in coming decades.
Researchers noted a 2.1% increase in the number of deaths for every 1C rise in the mercury and a 2% increase in mortality for every 1C drop in temperature. The number of hot weather days is projected to rise steeply, tripling by 2080, they said. Meanwhile the number of cold days is expected to fall, though at a less dramatic pace.
At present there are around 41,000 winter-related deaths and 2,000 excess summer deaths.
The authors predicted that without adaptation, the number of heat-related deaths will increase by 66% in the 2020s, 257% by the 2050s and 535% by the 2080s. Cold weather-related deaths will increase by 3% in the 2020s, then decrease by 2% in the 2050s and by 12% in the 2080s, they added.
This means by 2080 there will be around 12,500 heat-related deaths and 36,500 cold-related deaths.
The authors said that the burden of extreme weather remains such higher in those over the age of 75, particularly in the over-85s.
So feel free to tell grannie to get out the sun screen and the water gun, everything is safe--it's just another scare tactic brought to you by the global warming folks.