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Wednesday, September 10, 2014

YIKES! Latest NBC/WSJ is Awfully Bad For The Democrats

Polls are just a snapshot of opinions at a point of time, but at this point of time less than two months before the midterm elections things for the Democrats look awful.  The national defense numbers as well as the President's low approval numbers have been well publicized.

But looking at the other issues and relating it to party rather than individuals on every issue except for Healthcare the GOP has an advantage. 

Most surprising are the immigration numbers.  This poll was taken before the President announced he is delaying his promise to illegal immigrants. Breaking down the immigration numbers may indicate even more danger to the Democratic Party.
In April 2013, before the Senate passed a comprehensive deal that was ultimately rejected by the GOP-led House, almost half – 47 percent – of Republicans said they favored a path to citizenship. That number is down 15 points to just 32 percent. (However, if offered more details about the requirements for citizenship, a majority – 64 percent – of self-identified Republicans still say they support it.)

African-Americans have also seen a noteworthy slide in support for the citizenship proposal. Now, 59 percent of black respondents back it, versus 75 percent who supported it last spring.

Backing for a pathway to citizenship has also fallen by double digits among seniors (down 11 percent), women (down 14), young people (down 10) and whites (10 points). Support from respondents aged 50-64 dropped 16 points, from 63 percent last year to 47 percent now.

One place where the shift doesn’t seem to be happening is among Hispanics.

Despite widespread disappointment among immigration activists about the failure to achieve reform – either through legislation or executive action – Hispanic support for the plan remains high at 77 percent.
Understand there is still lots of time between today and the much can happen before we hit the polls.  And Obama's speech tonight can help or hurt the perception of his party.

The rest of the NBC/WSJ poll – which was conducted Sept. 3-7 of 1,000 registered voters and has an overall margin of error of plus-minus 3.1 percentage points – will be released at 6:30 pm ET.

UPDATE:  Ed Morrissey of Hot Air has a great post on this poll, give it a read by clicking here

1 comment:

Jeff Dunetz said...

obama would have surrendered,..he is a coward