Multiple sources are reporting that that negotiators at the Iran nuclear talks will reach a provisional agreement Sunday on a deal which supposedly will curb the country's atomic program in return for sanctions relief. Two diplomats at the talks told The Associated Press the accord will be sent to capitals for review today, but my contacts say it will be either today or early tomorrow and, barring last-minute objections, will be announced either Monday or Tuesday. The reason an announcement cannot be immediate is there has to be time for foreign ministers to return home.
This follows the rumors yesterday that R&D issues have been solved, that the Americans have collapsed on inspections, and that the Iranians have agreed to drop their new demand for ending the United Nations arms embargo.
Israel's channel two reports, "US negotiators have reportedly given in to an Iranian demand that military inspections be "prearranged", that is to say that inspections would only be carried out following approval by the Iranian regime." In other words the U.S. has agreed that Iran will have time to "clean up" any site before inspectors arrive. This is only slightly better than no inspections.
Between now and any announcement details will be leaked so we will see if the above is true, or what other U.S. capitulations were made to seal a deal.
Congress will now have 60 days to review the agreement, and lawmakers will be specifically looking for how the Obama administration managed to overcome the final issues that held up a deal over the last two weeks: anytime/anywhere inspections including access to military sites, the IAEA's concerns over the possible military dimensions of Iran's nuclear program, and the Iranian/Russian demand that the United Nations arms embargo against Tehran be lifted.
Based on how negotiations have progressed since mid-March - Iranian intransigence followed by repeated American collapses on nearly every core issue - it's unlikely that Congress will like what it finds. Mitch McConnell predicted this morning on Fox News Sunday that the deal will be "a very hard sell in Congress."
Speaker Boehner was on Face The Nation Sunday. He said:
No deal is better than a bad deal. And from everything that’s leaked from these negotiations, the administration’s backed away from almost all of the guidelines that they set up for themselves. And, I don’t want to see a bad deal. And so if, in fact, there’s no agreement, the sanctions are going to go back in place. And at some point, the Iranian regime, they’re going to have to change their behavior. Abandon their efforts to get a nuclear weapon, and stop being the largest state sponsor of terrorism in the world.”A congressional resolution of disapproval would carry all of the symbolism of a failed resolution of approval, but it would also prohibit the President from lifting some sanctions. The real question however is whether or not McConnell and Boehner can rouse a 2/3 majority to override a veto. If the deal is as lousy as it seems will Democrats go with what is best for the future of America or continue to kiss the presidential posterior (lets face it the President is still the most powerful force in the Democratic party).
Iran's Fars News has released what it says is terms of the deal, but remember Fars is a tool of the Iranian Govt. so it may not be totally accurate although their reports about the Framework deal in April were pretty spot on:
"In case the opposite side shows political will and the final agreement is signed, the text of the agreement will include the following points," the source said.
"According to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, all sanctions against Iran are terminated and Iran will no more be recognized as a sanctioned nation," the source said, and added, "The JCPA only envisages a set of temporary restrictions that will be removed after a limited and logical period of time, as stated earlier by the Iranian Supreme Leader."
"All economic, financial and banking sanctions against Iran will be terminated for good on day one after the endorsement of the deal, again as the Iranian Supreme Leader has demanded."
"Iran will no more be under any arms embargo, and according to a UN Security Council resolution that will be issued on the day when the deal is signed by the seven states, all arms embargos against Iran will be terminated, while its annex keeps some temporary restrictions on Iran for a limited period," the source disclosed.
He said the JCPA is, in fact, a collection of multiple agreements that all fall within the redlines specified by the Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Seyed Ali Khamenei, and includes a set of temporary and limited measures that will remain valid for different periods of time.
“The upcoming UN Security Council resolution – that will call all the previous five resolutions against Iran null and void - will be the last resolution to be issued on Iran’s nuclear program and withdraws Iran’s nuclear dossier from under Chapter 7 of the UN Charter. This last resolution will remain valid and will be implemented for a specifically limited period of time and will then automatically end at the end of this period,” the source added.
“This is the first time that a nation subject to Chapter 7 of the UN Charter has managed to end its case and stop being subject to this chapter through active diplomacy,” he concluded.
In the end details of the deal will leaked in the next few hours...we will continue to report here and at IranTruth.org